Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 408.894081 465.699092 529.175338 605.663523 695.725837 798.879268 926.652609
2025-09-14 316.985754 388.660593 476.210668 592.183388 743.511010 936.697688 1205.933148
2025-09-21 270.539244 348.083310 448.548302 590.464008 789.396856 1063.926440 1481.511884
2025-09-28 230.067677 306.808441 410.725633 564.911497 793.457456 1129.036221 1677.314525
2025-10-05 213.960266 295.104217 409.684290 587.926256 866.975219 1302.863428 2068.956851
2025-10-12 202.221488 287.451377 412.433307 615.455365 949.868943 1503.757364 2548.563503
2025-10-19 186.763933 272.198862 401.492682 619.343683 994.162846 1647.502650 2959.979503
2025-10-26 169.576499 252.315269 380.856076 604.205731 1003.008372 1729.503419 3272.071840
2025-11-02 155.857692 236.382425 364.569990 593.829207 1017.842515 1823.706945 3630.020998
2025-11-09 149.010533 230.678057 364.141462 610.445169 1083.943701 2027.371041 4276.013795
2025-11-16 139.423734 219.532399 353.338131 606.866832 1110.518141 2155.615457 4784.261107
2025-11-23 130.186779 208.144160 340.951429 598.701548 1126.430003 2263.657845 5273.327005
2025-11-30 123.296469 200.405929 334.608337 601.986736 1167.960120 2440.144277 6007.159444
2025-12-07 114.768428 189.143407 320.939414 589.433194 1174.207783 2537.591911 6559.978513
2025-12-14 108.567260 181.494879 313.158157 587.677980 1203.779881 2697.150103 7352.354918
2025-12-21 99.965195 168.852194 294.918572 562.271080 1175.709392 2706.332176 7680.516214
2025-12-28 97.961581 168.154856 299.363145 585.156848 1264.340374 3039.668641 9214.840142
2026-01-04 96.521685 168.367721 305.548144 612.530546 1368.704954 3442.818099 11195.378885
2026-01-11 92.648442 163.636159 301.434950 616.396802 1414.551450 3689.971204 12710.253915
2026-01-18 87.190889 155.455695 289.641572 601.344588 1408.678233 3780.395020 13629.783285
2026-01-25 82.616095 148.710324 280.292701 591.026596 1414.083524 3908.307133 14784.837469
2026-02-01 80.823021 147.360427 282.118006 607.548738 1496.362474 4308.163252 17442.538114
2026-02-08 77.388181 142.468274 275.995846 603.990647 1521.114217 4520.845092 19315.911548